Thursday, October 30, 2025
Modal balance & multi-modal corridors
CAHSR
Mistakes abound, but CAHSR is the 'icebreaker' for Shinkasen in American--there is no domestic industry experience in HSR, yet politics demanded that it had to be American Made. So such mistakes were (depressingly) inevitable. CAHSR was also, at the start, politically tenuous--it had barely fifty percent support, and was only feasible because a massive slug of Federal cash was available.
The cost estimates were, if no laughable, certainly questionable. And because of the lack of cost sensitivity that afflicts most public sector infrastructure projects, a whole series of decisions that would have been questionable from an engineering standpoint were made to buy political support. The political support for a tenuous project was maintained, but suffered ballooning costs. All very typical mega-project issues. (Flyvbjerg has written extensively on such issues).
Wednesday, October 15, 2025
Goon Arguments for Automobile Priority
After someone can be made to recognize that a corridor where cars occupy 99% of the space and have (effective) priority at all conflict points, and admits that cars are being prioritized, they will then attempt to justify that priority. After several years arguing with goons on Twitter, this usually consists of series of disputable claims:
The Gas Tax Pays for It!
Delusion. The Federal gas is used to pay for the Federal Aid Highway System (US Interstates and US Highways), which (IIRC) represent about 1% of road miles. Secondly, the Highway Trust Fund (which receives gas tax revenues) has been bust since 2008 and has been bailed out six times using revenue from the General Fund, which comes (mostly) from income tax.
The State Gas Tax Pays for It!
Dream on. The state gas tax is largely used to provide the 'match' share the Feds require the states kick in on US Interstates and Highways. The Feds pay for 80-90% of it but still require the states to kick in 10-20%. The rest of the state's gas tax gets used to pay for State Highways*.
Developers Choose to Do it!
Nice try. Every talk to a developer, who'd like to cut three inches off the width of the road, so they could save themselves a million dollars? The specifics of how subdivisions get built (road width, pavement thickness) is highly specified by city ordinance.
Cities Choose that for Their Roads!
Again, pre-emption. Most of the wide roads in cities are highways, and the state owns them*. And the state has its own standards for state highways, and those standards are highly focused on moving automobiles at highway speeds. Many states also have rules mandating certain standards (width) for roads anywhere in the state.
All Roads are Multi-modal!
Bunkum. If it was actually multi-modal, it would have a dedicated lane for that mode, and design standards that reflected all modes, and managed conflict between them. If I design a home for horses, no one tries to pretend it's for humans, even when humans can use it.
*Which, if you live in Ohio, might actually be all roads in the State.
Wednesday, October 1, 2025
Fares and (economic) equity
Transit districts, where transit is spread equitably (a stop every two blocks, a frequent network grid, excellent coverage) can be funded by a local property or sales tax--the beneficiaries of the service are also those who fund the service. But if you have people using transit who are from outside that district, who aren't paying the local property/sales tax to fund that service, they are functionally free-riding*, and in equity should be charged higher fares than those within the zone. In the reverse, using sales tax to pay for transit only works if that transit is equitably spread through out the sales tax area. Else people are paying for services they aren't using.
There is argument to be made that in either case, the affected folks do benefit, indirectly, through reduced traffic congestion. But the match or mismatch of the taxed service area and the services provided matters. Fail to provide service while charging taxes and you'll get a tax revolt that revokes funding for transit. But spend too much money providing transit service to marginal transit-hostile areas, you'll go broke. Analyzing the cost per rider of any transit system clearly shows a wide variance in cost per rider by route (and even by route segment). So you have to hope that the transit planners have made a good 'bargain' in expending scarce and limited dollars to buy political support by providing transit service to marginal corridors/stations. (This hope is often in vain).
In an equity sense (ignore the benefits of congestion mitigation), people should pay for what they get. But doing can be complicated, as it requires accounting for the cost of service and also the cost of infrastructure. In an ideal case, fares at an underground station with trains every four minutes should be much higher than fares at a ground-level station with one train an hour. However, because that underground station is located downtown, so the cost per rider of providing that service may actually be much much lower than at the peripheral surface level station with poor frequency.
* A certain level of free-riding is of course tolerable, on the basis of generosity, charity, equity, and the cost of attempting to collect all revenue due exceeding the value of the revenue collected.