Competing Urbanisms

Attached housing is a different way of living than detached housing. Shared systems means reliance on communal assets, and hence some governance method for managing those communal assets. If you are poor, and your neighbors are trashy, there is an insoluble communal action dilemma, a veritable prisoners dilemma. It only makes sense for you expend effort cleaning up the central lawn if everyone else does it. In cases like bungalow courts, the number of people involved is small enough that the small-group dynamics habits evolution has hardwired into humans can work it out. As the number of people increases, individual agency is diluted, no one is responsible, and you get The Projects.

*Arguably, attached townhomes would work...but most 'townhomes' are actually condos, from a legal/governance setting, with a condo board, so they have a method of managing communal assets.

Gotta build something

I was reading about housing starts today, and this phrase struck me:

Construction started on buildings with five or more units at an annual rate of 171,000 units, the highest level in two years. The rate of starts for single-family homes was the lowest in almost two years.

I find it tremendously cheering.  Five years ago, I remain the general despair at the thought of ever getting builders to shift toward developing multi-family properties. "No one will build multi-family, because developers have no experience at it". But the current oversupply of single family homes has changed that--if you've got a construction company, you've got to build something or go broke. Even if you fire everyone, you've still got cost of capital. So builders are switching.

The techniques for building town homes and condos really aren't that different from those used to build mansions and large house. Extra bedrooms, guest bathrooms, second kitchens, second furnaces and water heaters. Simply a matter of adding a few extra walls.

In the long-term, demand for single family homes will resume. But the skills for building decent multi-family units will have been developed, and that will do a lot to overcome the friction associated with developing TOD.